evidence: source inventory for livestock-disease-surveillance-east-africa

agent-radar.json

@@ -4,12 +4,12 @@
     "schema_version": 1,
     "total_packs": 107,
     "total_tasks": 554,
-    "scoped_tasks": 101,
-    "latent_tasks": 453,
+    "scoped_tasks": 100,
+    "latent_tasks": 454,
     "status_counts": {
-      "scoped": 101,
+      "scoped": 100,
       "needs-triage": 447,
-      "needs-review": 6
+      "needs-review": 7
     },
     "owner_role_counts": {
       "literature-scout": 107,
@@ -19,7 +19,7 @@
       "field-reality-reviewer": 108
     },
     "scoped_role_counts": {
-      "literature-scout": 101
+      "literature-scout": 100
     },
     "reviewer_needed_counts": {
       "domain-reviewer": 229,
@@ -428,8 +428,8 @@
         "tasks_file": "problem-packs/public-health/lead-exposure-urban-global/tasks.json"
       },
       {
-        "pack_id": "food-security/livestock-disease-surveillance-east-africa",
-        "pack_title": "Livestock Disease Surveillance And Pastoralist Livelihood Risk In East Africa",
+        "pack_id": "public-health/child-mortality-inequality-global",
+        "pack_title": "Under-Five Mortality Sub-National Inequality Tracking In Low-Income Countries",
         "scoped_tasks": 1,
         "downstream_tasks": 5,
         "downstream_high_risk_tasks": 4,
@@ -446,52 +446,52 @@
           "field-reality-reviewer": 1
         },
         "evidence_count": 2,
-        "problem_file": "problem-packs/food-security/livestock-disease-surveillance-east-africa/problem.md",
-        "tasks_file": "problem-packs/food-security/livestock-disease-surveillance-east-africa/tasks.json"
+        "problem_file": "problem-packs/public-health/child-mortality-inequality-global/problem.md",
+        "tasks_file": "problem-packs/public-health/child-mortality-inequality-global/tasks.json"
       },
       {
-        "pack_id": "public-health/child-mortality-inequality-global",
-        "pack_title": "Under-Five Mortality Sub-National Inequality Tracking In Low-Income Countries",
+        "pack_id": "public-health/substandard-falsified-medicines-global",
+        "pack_title": "Substandard And Falsified Medicine Detection And Surveillance Gaps In Low- And Middle-Income Countries",
         "scoped_tasks": 1,
         "downstream_tasks": 5,
-        "downstream_high_risk_tasks": 4,
+        "downstream_high_risk_tasks": 3,
         "downstream_by_role": {
-          "data-cleaner": 1,
           "implementation-planner": 2,
+          "data-cleaner": 1,
           "red-team-reviewer": 1,
           "field-reality-reviewer": 1
         },
         "downstream_reviewers_needed": {
-          "replicator": 1,
           "domain-reviewer": 2,
+          "replicator": 1,
           "red-team-reviewer": 1,
           "field-reality-reviewer": 1
         },
-        "evidence_count": 2,
-        "problem_file": "problem-packs/public-health/child-mortality-inequality-global/problem.md",
-        "tasks_file": "problem-packs/public-health/child-mortality-inequality-global/tasks.json"
+        "evidence_count": 4,
+        "problem_file": "problem-packs/public-health/substandard-falsified-medicines-global/problem.md",
+        "tasks_file": "problem-packs/public-health/substandard-falsified-medicines-global/tasks.json"
       },
       {
-        "pack_id": "public-health/substandard-falsified-medicines-global",
-        "pack_title": "Substandard And Falsified Medicine Detection And Surveillance Gaps In Low- And Middle-Income Countries",
+        "pack_id": "biodiversity/coral-bleaching-great-barrier-reef",
+        "pack_title": "Coral Bleaching Detection And Reef Recovery Tracking In The Great Barrier Reef",
         "scoped_tasks": 1,
         "downstream_tasks": 5,
         "downstream_high_risk_tasks": 3,
         "downstream_by_role": {
-          "implementation-planner": 2,
           "data-cleaner": 1,
+          "implementation-planner": 2,
           "red-team-reviewer": 1,
           "field-reality-reviewer": 1
         },
         "downstream_reviewers_needed": {
-          "domain-reviewer": 2,
           "replicator": 1,
+          "domain-reviewer": 2,
           "red-team-reviewer": 1,
           "field-reality-reviewer": 1
         },
-        "evidence_count": 4,
-        "problem_file": "problem-packs/public-health/substandard-falsified-medicines-global/problem.md",
-        "tasks_file": "problem-packs/public-health/substandard-falsified-medicines-global/tasks.json"
+        "evidence_count": 3,
+        "problem_file": "problem-packs/biodiversity/coral-bleaching-great-barrier-reef/problem.md",
+        "tasks_file": "problem-packs/biodiversity/coral-bleaching-great-barrier-reef/tasks.json"
       }
     ],
     "reviewer_hotspots": [
@@ -508,6 +508,19 @@
         "downstream_tasks": 6,
         "problem_file": "problem-packs/food-security/fisheries-overexploitation-west-africa/problem.md"
       },
+      {
+        "pack_id": "food-security/livestock-disease-surveillance-east-africa",
+        "pack_title": "Livestock Disease Surveillance And Pastoralist Livelihood Risk In East Africa",
+        "downstream_reviewers_needed": {
+          "domain-reviewer": 3,
+          "replicator": 1,
+          "red-team-reviewer": 1,
+          "field-reality-reviewer": 1
+        },
+        "downstream_high_risk_tasks": 4,
+        "downstream_tasks": 6,
+        "problem_file": "problem-packs/food-security/livestock-disease-surveillance-east-africa/problem.md"
+      },
       {
         "pack_id": "occupational-health/heat-stress-outdoor-workers-global",
         "pack_title": "Occupational Heat Stress And Worker Health In Outdoor Industries Under Climate Change",
@@ -611,19 +624,6 @@
         "downstream_tasks": 5,
         "problem_file": "problem-packs/food-safety/aflatoxin-exposure-sub-saharan-africa/problem.md"
       },
-      {
-        "pack_id": "food-security/livestock-disease-surveillance-east-africa",
-        "pack_title": "Livestock Disease Surveillance And Pastoralist Livelihood Risk In East Africa",
-        "downstream_reviewers_needed": {
-          "replicator": 1,
-          "domain-reviewer": 2,
-          "red-team-reviewer": 1,
-          "field-reality-reviewer": 1
-        },
-        "downstream_high_risk_tasks": 4,
-        "downstream_tasks": 5,
-        "problem_file": "problem-packs/food-security/livestock-disease-surveillance-east-africa/problem.md"
-      },
       {
         "pack_id": "food-security/locust-outbreak-east-africa",
         "pack_title": "Desert Locust Outbreak Early Warning In East Africa",
@@ -657,7 +657,7 @@
         "scoped_tasks": 0,
         "latent_tasks": 129,
         "share_of_all_tasks": 0.233,
-        "share_of_latent_tasks": 0.285
+        "share_of_latent_tasks": 0.284
       },
       {
         "owner_role": "field-reality-reviewer",
@@ -682,10 +682,10 @@
       },
       {
         "owner_role": "literature-scout",
-        "scoped_tasks": 101,
-        "latent_tasks": 6,
+        "scoped_tasks": 100,
+        "latent_tasks": 7,
         "share_of_all_tasks": 0.193,
-        "share_of_latent_tasks": 0.013
+        "share_of_latent_tasks": 0.015
       }
     ]
   }

docs/wiki/Agent-Radar.md

@@ -15,8 +15,8 @@ Without routing, a new agent sees a flat task list and misses the actual shape o
 
 - **107 problem packs**
 - **554 total tasks**
-- **101 scoped now**
-- **453 follow-on tasks still latent**
+- **100 scoped now**
+- **454 follow-on tasks still latent**
 - **Owner roles:** `data-cleaner`: 103, `field-reality-reviewer`: 108, `implementation-planner`: 129, `literature-scout`: 107, `red-team-reviewer`: 107
 - **Reviewer demand:** `domain-reviewer`: 229, `field-reality-reviewer`: 109, `red-team-reviewer`: 107, `replicator`: 109
 - **Safety mix:** `high`: 288, `low`: 15, `medium`: 251
@@ -263,35 +263,35 @@ These packs have a scoped front door and the deepest follow-on queue behind it.
 - Reviewer types needed later: `domain-reviewer`: 2, `field-reality-reviewer`: 1, `red-team-reviewer`: 1, `replicator`: 1
 - Existing evidence records: 3
 
-### Livestock Disease Surveillance And Pastoralist Livelihood Risk In East Africa
+### Under-Five Mortality Sub-National Inequality Tracking In Low-Income Countries
 
-- Pack: [`food-security/livestock-disease-surveillance-east-africa`](../../problem-packs/food-security/livestock-disease-surveillance-east-africa/problem.md)
+- Pack: [`public-health/child-mortality-inequality-global`](../../problem-packs/public-health/child-mortality-inequality-global/problem.md)
 - Scoped tasks at front door: 1
 - Follow-on tasks behind it: 5
 - High-risk follow-on tasks: 4
 - Follow-on roles: `data-cleaner`: 1, `field-reality-reviewer`: 1, `implementation-planner`: 2, `red-team-reviewer`: 1
 - Reviewer types needed later: `domain-reviewer`: 2, `field-reality-reviewer`: 1, `red-team-reviewer`: 1, `replicator`: 1
 - Existing evidence records: 2
 
-### Under-Five Mortality Sub-National Inequality Tracking In Low-Income Countries
+### Substandard And Falsified Medicine Detection And Surveillance Gaps In Low- And Middle-Income Countries
 
-- Pack: [`public-health/child-mortality-inequality-global`](../../problem-packs/public-health/child-mortality-inequality-global/problem.md)
+- Pack: [`public-health/substandard-falsified-medicines-global`](../../problem-packs/public-health/substandard-falsified-medicines-global/problem.md)
 - Scoped tasks at front door: 1
 - Follow-on tasks behind it: 5
-- High-risk follow-on tasks: 4
+- High-risk follow-on tasks: 3
 - Follow-on roles: `data-cleaner`: 1, `field-reality-reviewer`: 1, `implementation-planner`: 2, `red-team-reviewer`: 1
 - Reviewer types needed later: `domain-reviewer`: 2, `field-reality-reviewer`: 1, `red-team-reviewer`: 1, `replicator`: 1
-- Existing evidence records: 2
+- Existing evidence records: 4
 
-### Substandard And Falsified Medicine Detection And Surveillance Gaps In Low- And Middle-Income Countries
+### Coral Bleaching Detection And Reef Recovery Tracking In The Great Barrier Reef
 
-- Pack: [`public-health/substandard-falsified-medicines-global`](../../problem-packs/public-health/substandard-falsified-medicines-global/problem.md)
+- Pack: [`biodiversity/coral-bleaching-great-barrier-reef`](../../problem-packs/biodiversity/coral-bleaching-great-barrier-reef/problem.md)
 - Scoped tasks at front door: 1
 - Follow-on tasks behind it: 5
 - High-risk follow-on tasks: 3
 - Follow-on roles: `data-cleaner`: 1, `field-reality-reviewer`: 1, `implementation-planner`: 2, `red-team-reviewer`: 1
 - Reviewer types needed later: `domain-reviewer`: 2, `field-reality-reviewer`: 1, `red-team-reviewer`: 1, `replicator`: 1
-- Existing evidence records: 4
+- Existing evidence records: 3
 
 ## Reviewer Hotspots
 
@@ -304,6 +304,13 @@ These are the packs most likely to stall after the first scoped task because rev
 - High-risk follow-on tasks: 4
 - Reviewer load: `domain-reviewer`: 3, `field-reality-reviewer`: 1, `red-team-reviewer`: 1, `replicator`: 1
 
+### Livestock Disease Surveillance And Pastoralist Livelihood Risk In East Africa
+
+- Pack: [`food-security/livestock-disease-surveillance-east-africa`](../../problem-packs/food-security/livestock-disease-surveillance-east-africa/problem.md)
+- Follow-on tasks: 6
+- High-risk follow-on tasks: 4
+- Reviewer load: `domain-reviewer`: 3, `field-reality-reviewer`: 1, `red-team-reviewer`: 1, `replicator`: 1
+
 ### Occupational Heat Stress And Worker Health In Outdoor Industries Under Climate Change
 
 - Pack: [`occupational-health/heat-stress-outdoor-workers-global`](../../problem-packs/occupational-health/heat-stress-outdoor-workers-global/problem.md)
@@ -360,13 +367,6 @@ These are the packs most likely to stall after the first scoped task because rev
 - High-risk follow-on tasks: 4
 - Reviewer load: `domain-reviewer`: 2, `field-reality-reviewer`: 1, `red-team-reviewer`: 1, `replicator`: 1
 
-### Livestock Disease Surveillance And Pastoralist Livelihood Risk In East Africa
-
-- Pack: [`food-security/livestock-disease-surveillance-east-africa`](../../problem-packs/food-security/livestock-disease-surveillance-east-africa/problem.md)
-- Follow-on tasks: 5
-- High-risk follow-on tasks: 4
-- Reviewer load: `domain-reviewer`: 2, `field-reality-reviewer`: 1, `red-team-reviewer`: 1, `replicator`: 1
-
 ### Desert Locust Outbreak Early Warning In East Africa
 
 - Pack: [`food-security/locust-outbreak-east-africa`](../../problem-packs/food-security/locust-outbreak-east-africa/problem.md)
@@ -387,11 +387,11 @@ This is the actual pipeline shape. The flat scoped list hides it.
 
 | Role                     | Scoped now | Latent backlog | Share of all tasks | Share of latent tasks |
 | ------------------------ | ---------- | -------------- | ------------------ | --------------------- |
-| `implementation-planner` | 0          | 129            | 0.233              | 0.285                 |
+| `implementation-planner` | 0          | 129            | 0.233              | 0.284                 |
 | `field-reality-reviewer` | 0          | 108            | 0.195              | 0.238                 |
 | `red-team-reviewer`      | 0          | 107            | 0.193              | 0.236                 |
 | `data-cleaner`           | 0          | 103            | 0.186              | 0.227                 |
-| `literature-scout`       | 101        | 6              | 0.193              | 0.013                 |
+| `literature-scout`       | 100        | 7              | 0.193              | 0.015                 |
 
 ## Protocol Alerts
 

docs/wiki/Index.md

@@ -7,11 +7,11 @@
 | Metric | Value |
 |---|---|
 | Total packs | 107 |
-| Packs with claims | 12 |
+| Packs with claims | 13 |
 | Packs with accepted claims | 0 |
-| Total evidence records | 340 |
+| Total evidence records | 345 |
 | Total tasks | 554 |
-| Scoped tasks (ready for work) | 101 |
+| Scoped tasks (ready for work) | 100 |
 | High-risk tasks | 288 |
 
 ## All Problem Packs
@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@
 | [food-security/fertilizer-access-sub-saharan-africa](../../problem-packs/food-security/fertilizer-access-sub-saharan-africa/problem.md) | Fertilizer Access And Soil Nutrient Depletion In Smallholder Agriculture In Sub-Saharan Africa | scoped | food-security | sub-saharan-africa | medium | 4 ev; 5 tasks | ready |
 | [food-security/fisheries-overexploitation-west-africa](../../problem-packs/food-security/fisheries-overexploitation-west-africa/problem.md) | Small-Scale Fisheries Overexploitation Detection And Livelihood Risk In West Africa | scoped | food-security, biodiversity | west-africa | medium | 7 ev; 6 tasks; 1 claims | has claims |
 | [food-security/food-loss-postharvest-sub-saharan-africa](../../problem-packs/food-security/food-loss-postharvest-sub-saharan-africa/problem.md) | Postharvest Food Loss Measurement And Reduction Potential In Sub-Saharan Africa | scoped | food-security | sub-saharan-africa | medium | 4 ev; 5 tasks | ready |
-| [food-security/livestock-disease-surveillance-east-africa](../../problem-packs/food-security/livestock-disease-surveillance-east-africa/problem.md) | Livestock Disease Surveillance And Pastoralist Livelihood Risk In East Africa | scoped | food-security, public-health | east-africa | medium | 2 ev; 6 tasks | needs evidence |
+| [food-security/livestock-disease-surveillance-east-africa](../../problem-packs/food-security/livestock-disease-surveillance-east-africa/problem.md) | Livestock Disease Surveillance And Pastoralist Livelihood Risk In East Africa | scoped | food-security, public-health | east-africa | medium | 7 ev; 6 tasks; 1 claims | has claims |
 | [food-security/locust-outbreak-east-africa](../../problem-packs/food-security/locust-outbreak-east-africa/problem.md) | Desert Locust Outbreak Early Warning In East Africa | scoped | food-security, climate-health | east-africa | medium | 3 ev; 6 tasks | ready |
 | [food-security/urban-food-deserts-global](../../problem-packs/food-security/urban-food-deserts-global/problem.md) | Urban Food Desert Mapping And Fresh-Food Access Gaps In LMIC Cities | scoped | food-security, public-health | global | medium | 1 ev; 5 tasks | needs evidence |
 | [occupational-health/heat-stress-outdoor-workers-global](../../problem-packs/occupational-health/heat-stress-outdoor-workers-global/problem.md) | Occupational Heat Stress And Worker Health In Outdoor Industries Under Climate Change | scoped | occupational-health, climate-health, public-health | global | high | 10 ev; 6 tasks; 1 claims | has claims |
@@ -150,7 +150,6 @@ These packs have scoped tasks but fewer than 3 evidence records. The source-inve
 | [energy-access/renewable-energy-grid-integration-global](../../problem-packs/energy-access/renewable-energy-grid-integration-global/problem.md) | 2 | 5 | 3 | medium |
 | [food-security/crop-yield-gap-sub-saharan-africa](../../problem-packs/food-security/crop-yield-gap-sub-saharan-africa/problem.md) | 2 | 5 | 2 | medium |
 | [food-security/drought-early-warning-horn-of-africa](../../problem-packs/food-security/drought-early-warning-horn-of-africa/problem.md) | 2 | 5 | 4 | high |
-| [food-security/livestock-disease-surveillance-east-africa](../../problem-packs/food-security/livestock-disease-surveillance-east-africa/problem.md) | 2 | 6 | 4 | medium |
 | [food-security/urban-food-deserts-global](../../problem-packs/food-security/urban-food-deserts-global/problem.md) | 1 | 5 | 2 | medium |
 | [public-health/alcohol-harm-reduction-global](../../problem-packs/public-health/alcohol-harm-reduction-global/problem.md) | 1 | 4 | 3 | medium |
 | [public-health/blindness-vision-impairment-global](../../problem-packs/public-health/blindness-vision-impairment-global/problem.md) | 1 | 5 | 3 | medium |

problem-packs/food-security/fertilizer-access-sub-saharan-africa/evidence.json

@@ -2,20 +2,19 @@
   {
     "id": "africa-fertilizer-summit-2023",
     "problem_id": "food-security/fertilizer-access-sub-saharan-africa",
-    "claim": "The 2023 Africa Fertilizer and Soil Health Summit documented average fertilizer use of 15 kg/ha in SSA versus 150 kg/ha globally, with soil nutrient depletion costing an estimated 3 percent of agricultural GDP annually.",
+    "claim": "The 2024 Africa Fertilizer and Soil Health Summit produced the Nairobi Declaration, an African Union declaration focused on fertilizer access, soil health, and continent-wide soil-health action planning.",
     "evidence_type": "primary-source",
     "source": {
-      "title": "Africa Fertilizer and Soil Health Summit Declaration",
-      "url": "https://www.afdb.org/en/topics-and-sectors/initiatives-partnerships/africa-fertilizer-and-soil-health-summit"
+      "title": "Nairobi Declaration - 2024 Africa Fertilizer and Soil Health Summit",
+      "url": "https://au.int/en/documents/20240509/nairobi-declaration-2024-africa-fertilizer-and-soil-health-summit"
     },
-    "source_date": "2023-05-01",
-    "access_date": "2026-06-07",
-    "method": "Reviewed summit declaration, soil-health data, fertilizer-use statistics, and country-level analysis for SSA.",
+    "source_date": "2024-05-09",
+    "access_date": "2026-07-10",
+    "method": "Reviewed the African Union document page for the 2024 Nairobi Declaration and used it only to verify the summit output and policy-planning scope.",
     "limitations": [
-      "The 15 kg/ha figure is a continental average — individual countries range from under 5 to over 50 kg/ha.",
-      "Fertilizer-use data varies by country and crop — the average combines different survey methodologies and crop systems.",
-      "The 3 percent GDP cost is a modeled estimate from soil-nutrient balance studies at research sites that may not represent all farming systems.",
-      "Soil-nutrient data is sparse outside research sites — sub-national nutrient-depletion maps require interpolation that introduces uncertainty."
+      "This is a policy declaration source, not a fertilizer-use dataset.",
+      "The source does not support sub-national fertilizer-access estimates or soil-nutrient depletion rates.",
+      "Quantified fertilizer-use and agricultural-GDP-loss claims require separate statistical or peer-reviewed sources."
     ],
     "confidence": "high"
   },