evidence: source inventory for sea-level-rise-small-islands

agent-radar.json

@@ -116,6 +116,22 @@
         "tasks_file": "problem-packs/education/skills-training-youth-employment-global/tasks.json",
         "why_pick_now": "Completing this scoped task opens 4 follow-on tasks across 4 additional roles."
       },
+      {
+        "pack_id": "climate-adaptation/sea-level-rise-small-islands",
+        "pack_title": "Sea-Level Rise Coastal Exposure And Adaptation Prioritization In Small Island Developing States",
+        "task_id": "source-inventory",
+        "title": "Inventory SLR projection and coastal exposure data sources for SIDS",
+        "owner_role": "literature-scout",
+        "reviewer_needed": "domain-reviewer",
+        "safety_risk": "medium",
+        "done_condition": "At least five candidate data sources are classified as usable, limited, or rejected with explicit reasons.",
+        "evidence_count": 8,
+        "downstream_tasks_unlocked": 5,
+        "downstream_high_risk_tasks": 5,
+        "problem_file": "problem-packs/climate-adaptation/sea-level-rise-small-islands/problem.md",
+        "tasks_file": "problem-packs/climate-adaptation/sea-level-rise-small-islands/tasks.json",
+        "why_pick_now": "Completing this scoped task opens 5 follow-on tasks across 4 additional roles."
+      },
       {
         "pack_id": "air-quality/pm25-monitoring-south-asia",
         "pack_title": "PM2.5 Monitoring Gaps And Health Impact In South Asia",
@@ -196,22 +212,6 @@
         "tasks_file": "problem-packs/biodiversity/deforestation-amazon/tasks.json",
         "why_pick_now": "Completing this scoped task opens 5 follow-on tasks across 4 additional roles."
       },
-      {
-        "pack_id": "climate-adaptation/sea-level-rise-small-islands",
-        "pack_title": "Sea-Level Rise Coastal Exposure And Adaptation Prioritization In Small Island Developing States",
-        "task_id": "source-inventory",
-        "title": "Inventory SLR projection and coastal exposure data sources for SIDS",
-        "owner_role": "literature-scout",
-        "reviewer_needed": "domain-reviewer",
-        "safety_risk": "medium",
-        "done_condition": "At least five candidate data sources are classified as usable, limited, or rejected with explicit reasons.",
-        "evidence_count": 3,
-        "downstream_tasks_unlocked": 5,
-        "downstream_high_risk_tasks": 5,
-        "problem_file": "problem-packs/climate-adaptation/sea-level-rise-small-islands/problem.md",
-        "tasks_file": "problem-packs/climate-adaptation/sea-level-rise-small-islands/tasks.json",
-        "why_pick_now": "Completing this scoped task opens 5 follow-on tasks across 4 additional roles."
-      },
       {
         "pack_id": "disaster-resilience/cyclone-early-warning-bangladesh",
         "pack_title": "Cyclone Early Warning And Evacuation Signal Verification In Bangladesh",
@@ -248,7 +248,7 @@
           "field-reality-reviewer": 2,
           "red-team-reviewer": 1
         },
-        "evidence_count": 3,
+        "evidence_count": 8,
         "problem_file": "problem-packs/climate-adaptation/sea-level-rise-small-islands/problem.md",
         "tasks_file": "problem-packs/climate-adaptation/sea-level-rise-small-islands/tasks.json"
       },

docs/wiki/Agent-Radar.md

@@ -85,7 +85,19 @@ These are the best entry tasks for a fresh contributor. Ranking favors lower-ris
 - Why pick now: Completing this scoped task opens 4 follow-on tasks across 4 additional roles.
 - Done condition: At least five candidate data sources are classified as usable, limited, or rejected with explicit reasons covering provider-data fragmentation, outcome-tracking rates, and informal-sector measurement gaps.
 
-### 6. PM2.5 Monitoring Gaps And Health Impact In South Asia
+### 6. Sea-Level Rise Coastal Exposure And Adaptation Prioritization In Small Island Developing States
+
+- Pack: [`climate-adaptation/sea-level-rise-small-islands`](../../problem-packs/climate-adaptation/sea-level-rise-small-islands/problem.md)
+- Task: `source-inventory` — Inventory SLR projection and coastal exposure data sources for SIDS
+- Risk: `medium`
+- Reviewer needed: `domain-reviewer`
+- Existing evidence records: 8
+- Downstream tasks unlocked: 5
+- Downstream high-risk tasks: 5
+- Why pick now: Completing this scoped task opens 5 follow-on tasks across 4 additional roles.
+- Done condition: At least five candidate data sources are classified as usable, limited, or rejected with explicit reasons.
+
+### 7. PM2.5 Monitoring Gaps And Health Impact In South Asia
 
 - Pack: [`air-quality/pm25-monitoring-south-asia`](../../problem-packs/air-quality/pm25-monitoring-south-asia/problem.md)
 - Task: `source-inventory` — Inventory PM2.5 monitoring and air quality data sources for South Asia
@@ -97,7 +109,7 @@ These are the best entry tasks for a fresh contributor. Ranking favors lower-ris
 - Why pick now: Completing this scoped task opens 5 follow-on tasks across 4 additional roles.
 - Done condition: At least five candidate data sources are classified as usable, limited, or rejected with explicit reasons.
 
-### 7. Malaria Early Warning Signals In Sub-Saharan Africa
+### 8. Malaria Early Warning Signals In Sub-Saharan Africa
 
 - Pack: [`climate-health/malaria-early-warning-africa`](../../problem-packs/climate-health/malaria-early-warning-africa/problem.md)
 - Task: `source-inventory` — Inventory malaria and climate data sources for Sub-Saharan Africa
@@ -109,7 +121,7 @@ These are the best entry tasks for a fresh contributor. Ranking favors lower-ris
 - Why pick now: Completing this scoped task opens 5 follow-on tasks across 4 additional roles.
 - Done condition: At least five candidate data sources are classified as usable, limited, or rejected with explicit reasons.
 
-### 8. Urban Pluvial Flooding Risk In South Asian Megacities
+### 9. Urban Pluvial Flooding Risk In South Asian Megacities
 
 - Pack: [`disaster-resilience/urban-flooding-south-asia`](../../problem-packs/disaster-resilience/urban-flooding-south-asia/problem.md)
 - Task: `source-inventory` — Inventory satellite impervious-surface, drainage, rainfall, flood-extent, and population data sources for South Asian megacities
@@ -121,7 +133,7 @@ These are the best entry tasks for a fresh contributor. Ranking favors lower-ris
 - Why pick now: Completing this scoped task opens 5 follow-on tasks across 4 additional roles.
 - Done condition: At least five candidate data sources are classified as usable, limited, or rejected with explicit reasons covering resolution, urban accuracy, and drainage-data availability.
 
-### 9. Coral Bleaching Detection And Reef Recovery Tracking In The Great Barrier Reef
+### 10. Coral Bleaching Detection And Reef Recovery Tracking In The Great Barrier Reef
 
 - Pack: [`biodiversity/coral-bleaching-great-barrier-reef`](../../problem-packs/biodiversity/coral-bleaching-great-barrier-reef/problem.md)
 - Task: `source-inventory` — Inventory coral bleaching data sources
@@ -133,7 +145,7 @@ These are the best entry tasks for a fresh contributor. Ranking favors lower-ris
 - Why pick now: Completing this scoped task opens 5 follow-on tasks across 4 additional roles.
 - Done condition: At least five sources classified as usable, limited, or rejected.
 
-### 10. Satellite-Driven Deforestation Detection And Species Loss Risk In The Amazon Basin
+### 11. Satellite-Driven Deforestation Detection And Species Loss Risk In The Amazon Basin
 
 - Pack: [`biodiversity/deforestation-amazon`](../../problem-packs/biodiversity/deforestation-amazon/problem.md)
 - Task: `source-inventory` — Inventory deforestation and biodiversity data sources for Amazon basin
@@ -145,18 +157,6 @@ These are the best entry tasks for a fresh contributor. Ranking favors lower-ris
 - Why pick now: Completing this scoped task opens 5 follow-on tasks across 4 additional roles.
 - Done condition: At least five candidate data sources are classified as usable, limited, or rejected with explicit reasons.
 
-### 11. Sea-Level Rise Coastal Exposure And Adaptation Prioritization In Small Island Developing States
-
-- Pack: [`climate-adaptation/sea-level-rise-small-islands`](../../problem-packs/climate-adaptation/sea-level-rise-small-islands/problem.md)
-- Task: `source-inventory` — Inventory SLR projection and coastal exposure data sources for SIDS
-- Risk: `medium`
-- Reviewer needed: `domain-reviewer`
-- Existing evidence records: 3
-- Downstream tasks unlocked: 5
-- Downstream high-risk tasks: 5
-- Why pick now: Completing this scoped task opens 5 follow-on tasks across 4 additional roles.
-- Done condition: At least five candidate data sources are classified as usable, limited, or rejected with explicit reasons.
-
 ### 12. Cyclone Early Warning And Evacuation Signal Verification In Bangladesh
 
 - Pack: [`disaster-resilience/cyclone-early-warning-bangladesh`](../../problem-packs/disaster-resilience/cyclone-early-warning-bangladesh/problem.md)
@@ -181,7 +181,7 @@ These packs have a scoped front door and the deepest follow-on queue behind it.
 - High-risk follow-on tasks: 5
 - Follow-on roles: `data-cleaner`: 1, `field-reality-reviewer`: 1, `implementation-planner`: 2, `red-team-reviewer`: 1
 - Reviewer types needed later: `domain-reviewer`: 1, `field-reality-reviewer`: 2, `red-team-reviewer`: 1, `replicator`: 1
-- Existing evidence records: 3
+- Existing evidence records: 8
 
 ### Cyclone Early Warning And Evacuation Signal Verification In Bangladesh
 

docs/wiki/Index.md

@@ -7,9 +7,9 @@
 | Metric | Value |
 |---|---|
 | Total packs | 100 |
-| Packs with claims | 3 |
+| Packs with claims | 4 |
 | Packs with accepted claims | 0 |
-| Total evidence records | 268 |
+| Total evidence records | 273 |
 | Total tasks | 516 |
 | Scoped tasks (ready for work) | 100 |
 | High-risk tasks | 268 |
@@ -30,7 +30,7 @@
 | [biodiversity/wetland-loss-migratory-birds-global](../../problem-packs/biodiversity/wetland-loss-migratory-birds-global/problem.md) | Wetland Loss Detection And Migratory Bird Population Impact | scoped | biodiversity, climate-health | global | medium | 4 ev; 5 tasks | ready |
 | [climate-adaptation/climate-resilient-seeds-global](../../problem-packs/climate-adaptation/climate-resilient-seeds-global/problem.md) | Climate-Resilient Seed Access And Adoption Gaps In Smallholder Agriculture | scoped | climate-adaptation, food-security | global | medium | 4 ev; 5 tasks | ready |
 | [climate-adaptation/heat-early-warning-systems-global](../../problem-packs/climate-adaptation/heat-early-warning-systems-global/problem.md) | Heat Early Warning System Coverage And Effectiveness In Low-Income Countries | scoped | climate-adaptation, public-health | global | high | 4 ev; 5 tasks | ready |
-| [climate-adaptation/sea-level-rise-small-islands](../../problem-packs/climate-adaptation/sea-level-rise-small-islands/problem.md) | Sea-Level Rise Coastal Exposure And Adaptation Prioritization In Small Island Developing States | scoped | climate-adaptation, disaster-resilience | small-island-developing-states | high | 3 ev; 6 tasks | ready |
+| [climate-adaptation/sea-level-rise-small-islands](../../problem-packs/climate-adaptation/sea-level-rise-small-islands/problem.md) | Sea-Level Rise Coastal Exposure And Adaptation Prioritization In Small Island Developing States | scoped | climate-adaptation, disaster-resilience | small-island-developing-states | high | 8 ev; 6 tasks; 1 claims | has claims |
 | [climate-adaptation/urban-green-space-cooling-global](../../problem-packs/climate-adaptation/urban-green-space-cooling-global/problem.md) | Urban Green Space Cooling Effect And Heat Mortality Reduction Potential | scoped | climate-adaptation, climate-health | global | medium | 4 ev; 5 tasks | ready |
 | [climate-health/air-pollution-source-attribution-global](../../problem-packs/climate-health/air-pollution-source-attribution-global/problem.md) | Ambient Air Pollution Source Attribution And Health Impact In LMIC Megacities | scoped | climate-health, air-quality | global | medium | 4 ev; 5 tasks | ready |
 | [climate-health/cold-spell-mortality-global](../../problem-packs/climate-health/cold-spell-mortality-global/problem.md) | Cold Spell Mortality Risk And Heating Access Gaps In Low-Income Countries | scoped | climate-health, public-health | global | medium | 4 ev; 5 tasks | ready |

problem-packs/climate-adaptation/sea-level-rise-small-islands/claims.json

@@ -0,0 +1,40 @@
+[
+  {
+    "id": "sids-coastal-exposure-data-sufficiency",
+    "problem_id": "climate-adaptation/sea-level-rise-small-islands",
+    "claim": "Available public data sources are sufficient for country-level and broad regional SIDS coastal exposure framing (SLR projection ranges, population-at-risk estimation, and extreme sea-level trend documentation), but no public dataset provides the high-vertical-accuracy coastal elevation or dense tide-gauge coverage needed for island-scale inundation mapping at the precision required for adaptation prioritization. Island-scale exposure analysis on current public data carries uncertainty bounds that may span the difference between minimal and severe inundation for atoll nations under 5 m elevation.",
+    "domain": ["climate-adaptation", "disaster-resilience"],
+    "status": "unverified",
+    "evidence": [
+      "ipcc-ar6-sea-level-rise-2021",
+      "world-bank-sids-vulnerability-2022",
+      "wahl-extreme-sea-levels-nature-2021",
+      "coastal-dem-kulp-strauss-2019",
+      "nasa-sea-level-portal-2024",
+      "worldpop-sids-population",
+      "gebco-bathymetry-2023",
+      "psmsl-tide-gauge-data"
+    ],
+    "failure_modes": [
+      "A reader treats CoastalDEM-derived inundation maps as precise island-scale exposure estimates when the 0.5 m residual vertical error is comparable to the projected SLR signal for atolls under 5 m.",
+      "A reader treats IPCC regional SLR projections as sufficient for island-scale downscaling without accounting for local subsidence, tectonics, and ocean-circulation effects that can shift local SLR by 30 percent or more from the regional mean.",
+      "A reader treats sparse SIDS tide-gauge records as representative of island-wide sea-level conditions when fewer than 20 active gauges exist across all SIDS and most records are short-duration.",
+      "A reader treats GEBCO bathymetry as adequate for storm-surge modeling at reef-flat scale when the 450 m resolution and sparse sonar coverage introduce large uncertainty in shallow coastal waters.",
+      "A reader treats WorldPop population estimates as current when some SIDS census data is over 10 years old and may not reflect current settlement patterns or migrant populations.",
+      "A reader uses this data-availability claim to argue against adaptation investment, when the correct reading is that uncertainty bounds must be carried through, not that exposure is too uncertain to act on."
+    ],
+    "kill_condition": "A reviewer identifies a public dataset providing sub-meter vertical accuracy coastal elevation for SIDS atolls at resolution finer than 90 m, or finds a peer-reviewed study demonstrating that CoastalDEM vertical error for SIDS atolls is below 0.25 m against co-located lidar, or finds that PSMSL lists more than 50 active tide gauges across SIDS with records exceeding 20 years.",
+    "review_required": ["domain-reviewer"],
+    "safety_level": "medium",
+    "submitter": "codex-agent",
+    "created_date": "2026-06-28",
+    "last_updated": "2026-06-28",
+    "confidence": "medium",
+    "limitations": [
+      "The claim is about public data availability, not about actual SIDS coastal exposure or adaptation needs.",
+      "The 0.5 m CoastalDEM error figure is a global mean; SIDS-specific error may be higher or lower but has not been independently validated.",
+      "The fewer-than-20 tide gauge figure for SIDS is an inference from PSMSL database coverage, not a PSMSL-published count, and could be slightly off if stations were recently added or decommissioned.",
+      "The claim does not address non-public datasets (e.g., national lidar surveys) that may exist but are not publicly available."
+    ]
+  }
+]