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Beyond Brokerage Hours

Credibly Neutral 24/7 Equity Markets on Ethereum

Platform Commitment, Perpetual Instrument Design, and Decentralized Value Allocation for Tokenized Equity Access


Application to Ethereum Foundation PhD Fellowship -- RFP: Economic Models Enabled by Decentralized Trust Systems


Overview

Centralized equity markets operate on fixed schedules under the discretionary control of platform operators who can unilaterally alter fees, access rules, and value-sharing arrangements. This creates well-documented commitment failures: traders, liquidity providers, and third-party integrators who make relationship-specific investments face hold-up risk because the platform retains residual control.

Ethereum provides the composability, public verifiability, smart-contract durability, and credibly neutral interface layer needed for these participants to make such investments without fear of ex-post platform discretion. No single centralized operator can replicate these properties without reintroducing discretionary trust assumptions.

This project develops a formal economic and computational framework for equity-linked perpetuals on Ethereum, combining incomplete-contract theory, platform economics, and dynamic mean-field market microstructure to identify the conditions under which decentralized commitment improves participation, liquidity, and welfare.


Motivation

Development Signal
BlackRock BUIDL fund Surpassed $1B AUM within about one year of its March 2024 Ethereum launch
Robinhood tokenized stocks Launched for EU users, initially using Arbitrum-based infrastructure
DTCC no-action letter SEC staff granted time-limited no-action relief for DTC's preliminary tokenization service
Cboe 24x5 filing Filed with the SEC to launch near 24x5 U.S. equities trading on EDGX
SEC staff statement (Jan. 30, 2026) Outlined a two-part taxonomy: issuer-tokenized and third-party tokenized securities

Research Questions & Hypotheses

IDQuestion
Q1When does decentralized trust increase participation and liquidity enough to outweigh additional on-chain frictions?
Q2When do equity-linked perpetuals dominate spot tokenization as the most scalable form of 24/7 equity exposure?
Q3How should trading revenues and control rights be allocated so that the market remains open, composable, and resistant to rent extraction?

Hypotheses:

  • H1. Credibly neutral fee and access commitments increase third-party liquidity provision and reduce rent extraction relative to centralized extended-hours platforms.
  • H2. Equity-linked perpetuals are a more scalable form of 24/7 global equity exposure than spot-token wrappers in settings where corporate-action and register-management frictions are material.
  • H3. A hybrid design combining continuous trading with event-sensitive auction windows produces better price-discovery efficiency and lower adverse-selection costs than pure continuous trading during low-liquidity hours.

Methodology

The project proceeds in four linked workstreams that build progressively from institutional theory to computational modeling to empirical validation.

WS1  Organizational Model        Incomplete contracts (Grossman-Hart-Moore) + platform economics
 |
WS2  Instrument Design           Spot tokens vs. equity-linked perpetuals (contract theory)
 |
WS3  Dynamic Microstructure      Multi-population mean-field game model
 |
WS4  Empirical Calibration       After-hours equity, crypto perps, on-chain tokenized equity

The model includes six agent classes: global directional traders, passive/active liquidity providers, market makers, front-end operators, oracle/attestation providers, and protocol maintainers.

Planned datasets:

Source Data Access
NYSE TAQ (WRDS) After-hours bid-ask spreads, depth, trade counts, price impact USC institutional subscription
Binance & dYdX Funding rates, basis, order-book snapshots, liquidation events Public REST & WebSocket APIs
Arbitrum / Etherscan Robinhood tokenized stock transactions, Kraken xStocks (Backed Finance) Dune Analytics, on-chain

Deliverables

Output Description
Theoretical model Centralized vs. decentralized equity market organization under incomplete contracting
MFG microstructure model Dynamic mean-field game of traders, LPs, MMs, and arbitrageurs in 24/7 equity markets
Mechanism-design blueprint Credibly neutral value allocation and liquidity incentives
Academic paper Submission to a leading venue in financial economics, blockchain, or market design
Open-source code Simulation and calibration codebase (this repository)
Design memo Practitioner-facing document for Ethereum builders and policymakers

Timeline

Milestone Months Focus
MS1 -- Literature & Data 1--3 Structured literature review, institutional case studies, data pipeline construction
MS2 -- Formal Model 3--6 Incomplete-contracts + platform-design model, threshold conditions, welfare results
MS3 -- Computational Model 6--10 Multi-population MFG implementation, calibration, counterfactual experiments
MS4 -- Dissemination 10--12 Paper submission, open-source release, design memo, community presentation

Related Publications

  1. H. Mohanty and B. Krishnamachari, "Who Restores the Peg? A Mean-Field Game Approach to Model Stablecoin Market Dynamics," arXiv:2601.18991, 2026. Accepted at IEEE ICBC 2026. [arXiv]

  2. H. Mohanty, G. Zaarour, and B. Krishnamachari, "Proactive Market Making and Liquidity Analysis for Everlasting Options in DeFi Ecosystems," IEEE ICBC 2025. [DOI]

  3. Z. Feng, H. Mohanty, and B. Krishnamachari, "Modeling and Analysis of Crypto-Backed Over-Collateralized Stable Derivatives in DeFi," Frontiers in Blockchain, vol. 7, 2024. [DOI]


License

This project is licensed under the MIT License.


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Research repository for modeling, empirically evaluating, and designing equity-linked perpetuals on Ethereum

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