diff --git a/slides/04-bayesian_workflow.typ b/slides/04-bayesian_workflow.typ index 63c8fb3..3932e3b 100644 --- a/slides/04-bayesian_workflow.typ +++ b/slides/04-bayesian_workflow.typ @@ -117,7 +117,7 @@ ] #slide( - title: "Prior Predictive Check", + title: "Posterior Predictive Check", )[ #text( size: 18pt, @@ -125,8 +125,6 @@ We need to make sure that the posterior distribution of $bold(y)$, namely $bold(tilde(y))$, can capture all the nuances of the real distribution density/mass of $bold(y)$. - #v(1em) - This procedure is called *posterior predictive check*, and it is generally carried on by a visual inspection #footnote[ we also perform mathematical/exact inspections, see the section on _Model Comparison_. @@ -134,14 +132,10 @@ of the real density/mass of $bold(y)$ against generated samples of $bold(y)$ by the Bayesian model. - #v(1em) - The purpose is to compare the histogram of the dependent variable $bold(y)$ against the histograms of simulated dependent variables $bold(y)_"rep"$ by the model after parameter inference. - #v(1em) - The idea is that the real and simulated histograms blend together and we do not observer any divergences. ]