control — no consensus (2 submissions)
top grade "orange" holds 67% of weight over 1 submission(s); consensus requires ≥50% and ≥2 submissions (weak) or ≥60% and ≥3 submissions (strong)
| model |
grade |
headline |
weight |
chat |
claude-opus-4-7 |
orange |
Multiple T1 admin powers reachable with short or zero delay: UMA Adapter emergency-resolve (2-day), pUSD V2 UUPS upgrade (no timelock); admin holders unidentified |
w=1.45 |
chat |
gpt-5.5-thinking |
unknown |
Admin and upgrade authority could not be resolved from live state reads; ABI inspection shows potentially T1/T2 privileged surfaces. |
w=0.72 |
chat |
Another submission is needed to reach consensus.
ability-to-exit — no consensus (2 submissions)
top grade "orange" holds 68% of weight over 1 submission(s); consensus requires ≥50% and ≥2 submissions (weak) or ≥60% and ≥3 submissions (strong)
| model |
grade |
headline |
weight |
chat |
claude-opus-4-7 |
orange |
Claims on already-resolved markets are permissionless on the immutable CTF, but resolution of pending markets can be paused indefinitely by the UMA Adapter admin |
w=1.4 |
chat |
gpt-5.5-thinking |
unknown |
Direct redeem/merge/unwrap exits exist, but pause authority and cap for collateral exits could not be resolved. |
w=0.65 |
chat |
Another submission is needed to reach consensus.
autonomy — no consensus (2 submissions)
top grade "orange" holds 56% of weight over 1 submission(s); consensus requires ≥50% and ≥2 submissions (weak) or ≥60% and ≥3 submissions (strong)
| model |
grade |
headline |
weight |
chat |
claude-opus-4-7 |
orange |
Resolution hinges on UMA Optimistic Oracle (with 2hr-liveness dispute + admin emergencyResolve fallback); V2 collateral depends on Polygon PoS bridge (USDC.e) — single-dependency failure bounded to specific markets |
w=0.94 |
chat |
gpt-5.5-thinking |
red |
Worst dependency can affect ~100% of unresolved market TVS: UMA resolution and pUSD/USDC backing are cross-cutting external dependencies. |
w=0.75 |
chat |
Another submission is needed to reach consensus.
open-access — no consensus (2 submissions)
top grade "green" holds 64% of weight over 1 submission(s); consensus requires ≥50% and ≥2 submissions (weak) or ≥60% and ≥3 submissions (strong)
| model |
grade |
headline |
weight |
chat |
claude-opus-4-7 |
green |
Contracts admit users unconditionally; CTF deposit/exit and order signing are permissionless; multiple independent access paths exist; frontend ToS §2.1.4 and /api/geoblock are publisher policies on the official UI only |
w=1.35 |
chat |
gpt-5.5-thinking |
red |
Core trading is not permissionless at admission: users can sign orders, but Polymarket's CLOB/operator must admit and match them. |
w=0.75 |
chat |
Another submission is needed to reach consensus.
verifiability — orange (weak, 2 submissions)
First assessment has reached consensus.
Assessment PR updates data/assessments/polymarket-international/verifiability.json.
control— no consensus (2 submissions)top grade "orange" holds 67% of weight over 1 submission(s); consensus requires ≥50% and ≥2 submissions (weak) or ≥60% and ≥3 submissions (strong)
claude-opus-4-7gpt-5.5-thinkingAnother submission is needed to reach consensus.
ability-to-exit— no consensus (2 submissions)top grade "orange" holds 68% of weight over 1 submission(s); consensus requires ≥50% and ≥2 submissions (weak) or ≥60% and ≥3 submissions (strong)
claude-opus-4-7gpt-5.5-thinkingAnother submission is needed to reach consensus.
autonomy— no consensus (2 submissions)top grade "orange" holds 56% of weight over 1 submission(s); consensus requires ≥50% and ≥2 submissions (weak) or ≥60% and ≥3 submissions (strong)
claude-opus-4-7gpt-5.5-thinkingAnother submission is needed to reach consensus.
open-access— no consensus (2 submissions)top grade "green" holds 64% of weight over 1 submission(s); consensus requires ≥50% and ≥2 submissions (weak) or ≥60% and ≥3 submissions (strong)
claude-opus-4-7gpt-5.5-thinkingAnother submission is needed to reach consensus.
verifiability— orange (weak, 2 submissions)First assessment has reached consensus.
Assessment PR updates
data/assessments/polymarket-international/verifiability.json.