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Workflow health slipped: the latest audit shows only 64.7% success (44/68 runs) with MCP client breakage (invalid URL / missing read_buffer.cjs) and safeoutputs outages hitting smoke suites. Firewall denials are climbing to 25.2% with GitHub API/Web blocks driven by workflows that still lack GitHub MCP wiring.
Tokens are steady (~133M/day, $2.66 across 341 Copilot runs) but remain concentrated in CI Cleaner (17%), Tidy (10%), and Issue Monster (8.4%). Issue flow is tilting negative again: 101 created vs 90 closed in 3 days, pushing weekly open count to 44 (from 24 prior), though unlabeled open issues are at zero.
📊 Pattern Analysis
MCP instability: Invalid URL / missing module errors across Smoke Copilot variants plus safeoutputs failures in Smoke Claude; linked to recent MCP HTTP transport changes (audit 12/26).
Firewall pressure: Denial rate up to 25.2% (104 denied / 309 allowed) with 92 GitHub API/Web blocks and 90 LinkedIn blocks; research.md and daily-news.md still missing GitHub MCP.
Token concentration: CI Cleaner, Tidy, Issue Monster account for ~35% of Copilot tokens; efficiency flat after prior improvements.
Backlog creep: Issue creation outpacing closure (101 vs 90 in 3d) raising open issues to 44; unlabeled backlog trimmed to 13 (0 open).
📈 Trend Intelligence
Success rate regressed from ~88% (12/25) to 64.7% today with 4 missing-tool and 5 MCP failures.
Firewall denials trending upward (26.3% → 29.7% weekly; 25.2% overall in latest report) dominated by GitHub API blocks.
Token usage stable day-over-day; cost low but hot spots unchanged (CI Cleaner 2.86M tokens/run average).
Issues: net negative throughput this window; labels still concentrated (ai-generated, plan, enhancement).
🚨 Notable Findings
MCP HTTP transport regression causing invalid URL and ./read_buffer.cjs errors; safeoutputs failing in Smoke Claude.
GitHub MCP absent in research.md/daily-news.md/daily-firewall-report.md causing GitHub API blocks and inflated firewall denials.
Missing tools remain: safeinputs-gh absent in Smoke Codex/Safe Inputs; Tidy lacks make/go/npm/golangci-lint; Spec-Kit Execute blocked on directory creation.
Permission-denied warnings (90) across AI Moderator, Issue Monster, Tidy, Spec-Kit, smoke suites.
🔮 Predictions and Recommendations
Fixing MCP transport + safeoutputs should lift success back toward 85% and clear smoke failures.
Wiring GitHub MCP into research/news/firewall reporters should drop GitHub-domain denials to ~10-15% while preserving LinkedIn blocks.
Providing build tools and safeinputs-gh will cut recurring missing-tool noise and warning volume in Tidy and smoke suites.
Watch CI Cleaner/Tidy token usage; modest prompt/context tightening could free ~10-20% tokens without loss.
✅ Actionable Agentic Tasks (Quick Wins)
Repair MCP HTTP transport and safeoutputs in smoke suites
Description: Patch MCP HTTP client/server to resolve invalid URL and read_buffer.cjs load errors; stabilize safeoutputs startup in Smoke Claude.
Add GitHub MCP toolsets to research.md, daily-news.md, daily-firewall-report.md
Description: Configure tools.github (mode: remote, toolsets: [default]) for these Copilot workflows to replace direct GitHub API calls.
Expected Impact: Cut GitHub-domain firewall denials (~92 blocks) and unblock data access for reports.
Suggested Agent: Workflow Health Manager.
Estimated Effort: Quick (<1 hour).
Provision required tools for Tidy and safeinputs smoke tests
Description: Add make/go/npm/golangci-lint to Tidy environment and ensure safeinputs-gh is available for Smoke Codex/Safe Inputs; fix Spec-Kit directory creation permission.
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🔍 Executive Summary
Workflow health slipped: the latest audit shows only 64.7% success (44/68 runs) with MCP client breakage (invalid URL / missing
read_buffer.cjs) and safeoutputs outages hitting smoke suites. Firewall denials are climbing to 25.2% with GitHub API/Web blocks driven by workflows that still lack GitHub MCP wiring.Tokens are steady (~133M/day, $2.66 across 341 Copilot runs) but remain concentrated in CI Cleaner (17%), Tidy (10%), and Issue Monster (8.4%). Issue flow is tilting negative again: 101 created vs 90 closed in 3 days, pushing weekly open count to 44 (from 24 prior), though unlabeled open issues are at zero.
📊 Pattern Analysis
📈 Trend Intelligence
ai-generated,plan,enhancement).🚨 Notable Findings
./read_buffer.cjserrors; safeoutputs failing in Smoke Claude.🔮 Predictions and Recommendations
✅ Actionable Agentic Tasks (Quick Wins)
read_buffer.cjsload errors; stabilize safeoutputs startup in Smoke Claude.tools.github(mode: remote, toolsets: [default]) for these Copilot workflows to replace direct GitHub API calls.safeinputs-ghis available for Smoke Codex/Safe Inputs; fix Spec-Kit directory creation permission.📚 Source Attribution
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