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08 Surveying the Landscape.md

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Surveying the Landscape

Peter Gaston (@stopsatgreen)

  • danger: the web gets marginalized
  • threats to the prosperity of the web:
    • commoditisation (work gets automated)
    • apps (better ux, more focus)
      • app-only strategy (e.g. Apple, Snapchat)
      • iOS + android have ways to open apps instead of web links
    • advertising/tracking (has chilling effects on users)
    • monetisation (adblockers caused revenue drop of 22bn $ in 2014)
      • few centralized websites instead of diverse website landscape
    • platforms (< 2002: portals; < 2013: search engines; >= 2013: platforms)
    • the next billion (4bn people online 2018)
      • mobile by default
      • surfing is expensive (https://whatdoesmysitecost.com, e.g. 1GB prepaid data ~ 15% avg month income in Myanmar)
      • Facebook is the internet: Instant articles (on Facebook) provide 10× the performance of shared stories
    • messaging platforms
      • platforms host content on their own (because of performance)
      • bots provide dynamic services
    • headless (e.g. wearables)
    • voice / no UI (e.g. Amazon Echo, Google Home)
  • it's not all bad
    • web-first promises fast growth (see slack etc.)
    • with electron, web technologies can be used on desktop
    • progressive web apps are best practices for matching expectations users have
    • physical web => beacon sending url, physical notifications
    • web bluetooth => web app pairs with bluetooth devices
    • nfc api
    • geolocation api
    • payments api