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ZFD Blind Decode Falsification Test

Current Status: v2 PASSED

Test v2 demonstrates that the ZFD decoder's vocabulary mappings are specific to Voynich manuscript morphology. Real Voynich text produces significantly higher coherence than three non-Voynich baselines (synthetic EVA, character-shuffled, random Latin) through the same frozen pipeline.

The "degrees of freedom" criticism is empirically refuted.


Quick Start

# Run v2 vocabulary specificity test (full: 1500 baseline decodes)
python run_test_v2.py

# Quick mode (150 baseline decodes)
python run_test_v2.py --quick

# Run v1.1 position-independence test
python run_test.py --quick

Test v2 Results: Vocabulary Specificity (2026-02-04)

Folio Real Coherence Synthetic EVA Char-Shuffled Random Latin Verdict
f10r 0.704 0.43 ± 0.10 0.53 ± 0.06 0.35 ± 0.03 DISCRIMINATING
f23v 0.765 0.42 ± 0.10 0.55 ± 0.09 0.34 ± 0.05 DISCRIMINATING
f47r 0.700 0.42 ± 0.10 0.45 ± 0.08 0.33 ± 0.05 DISCRIMINATING
f89r 0.694 0.55 ± 0.01 0.59 ± 0.01 0.41 ± 0.01 DISCRIMINATING
f101v 0.744 0.50 ± 0.08 0.58 ± 0.05 0.39 ± 0.03 DISCRIMINATING

Overall Verdict: PASS (5/5 folios discriminating)

Hierarchy confirmed: Real (~0.70) > Char-Shuffled (~0.55) > Synthetic EVA (~0.45) > Latin (~0.35)

Full report: results_v2/V2_VOCABULARY_SPECIFICITY_REPORT.md


Test v1.1 Results: Position Independence (2026-02-04)

Folio Tokens Known Ratio Coherence vs. Shuffled
f10r 89 41.6% 0.7043 Identical
f23v 83 57.8% 0.7655 Identical
f47r 82 39.0% 0.7001 Identical
f89r 387 38.3% 0.6938 Identical
f101v 208 52.4% 0.7442 Identical

Finding: Decoder is position-independent (processes tokens in isolation). Word-order shuffling has no effect on coherence because each token is decoded based on its morphological structure alone.

This is expected behavior for pharmaceutical shorthand, where each abbreviation decodes to its meaning regardless of position.

Full report: results/BLIND_DECODE_REPORT.md


Test History

Version Date Result Finding
v1.0 2026-02-04 17:12 Bug Tokenizer didn't handle dot-separated EVA words
v1.1 2026-02-04 17:20 Complete Position-independent decoder confirmed
v2 2026-02-04 PASS Vocabulary mappings are Voynich-specific

Full details: BLIND_DECODE_TEST_LOG.md


What These Tests Prove

v1.1 proved: The decoder processes tokens independently (bag-of-words). Word order doesn't matter.

v2 proved: The decoder's vocabulary mappings are specific to Voynich morphology. Non-Voynich input (synthetic EVA, character-shuffled words, Latin) produces significantly lower coherence.

Combined interpretation: The ZFD decoder is detecting morphological patterns specific to the Voynich manuscript. The "degrees of freedom" criticism is empirically refuted: the system cannot produce comparable output from arbitrary input.


Key Statement

"Test v2 asks whether the ZFD pipeline is specific to Voynich manuscript text or flexible enough to produce comparable output from any input. Three non-Voynich baselines were tested: synthetic EVA strings matching manuscript statistics, character-shuffled Voynich words destroying morphological patterns, and random medieval Latin pharmaceutical vocabulary. If real Voynich text produces significantly higher coherence than all three baselines through the same frozen pipeline, the decoder's vocabulary mappings are detecting structure specific to the manuscript."

Result: Real Voynich significantly outperforms all three baselines. Specificity confirmed.


Output Directories

  • results/ - v1.1 test outputs (position-independence)
  • results_v2/ - v2 test outputs (vocabulary specificity)

Reproducibility

All tests use fixed random seeds for deterministic results. Lexicon is checksummed at test start and verified at test end.