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Timeseries Analysis: COVID 19

Problem Statement:

  • Create a storyboard showing spread of Covid-19 cases in your country or any region (Asia, Europe, BRICS etc) using Tableau, Power BI or SAP

  • Identify interesting patterns and possible reasons helping Covid-19 spread with basic as well as advanced charts

Abstract:This notebook is devoted to predicting the COVID-19 spread dynamics in the world using neural networks of different structures. We will see how to make predictions based on linear regression, back propagation, long short-term memory neural networks(LSTM) , autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA) and prophet.

Steps or Stages: It consists of four stages:

  • Download and preliminary analysis of data

  • Linear Regression

  • Back Propagation NN

  • Long Short-Term Memory - LSTM

In first stage we pre-prepare data for analysis: -change the data types of columns

  • Rows Filtering

  • Elimination of Missing Data

  • DataSet Transformation

  • Data Normalization

Prerequisites:

  • Python

  • Pandas

  • Statistics

  • NumPy

  • Matplotlib

  • Keras

  • Scikit-Learn

Dataset:https://www.kaggle.com/shiv28/covidowid

About: We are doing forecasting on India and taking train:test = 7:3.

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Results:

Linear Model:

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ANN:

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LSTM:

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Compare between Linear Model , ANN , LSTM

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ARIMA:

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Prophet:

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Made by Shivam Saxena  ❤️