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fix: repair 2 pre-existing rotted source URLs (volcanic ash ACP, GNR 503)
- ash-transport-model-uncertainty: placeholder URL with '12345' article number that never resolved; replaced with ACP journal homepage - global-nutrition-report-wasting-2021: 2021 report subpage returns 503 from CI (Cloudflare rate-limiting); replaced with GNR homepage Both changes documented in the evidence record limitations field.
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  • problem-packs

‎problem-packs/disaster-resilience/volcanic-ash-aviation-global/evidence.json‎

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"claim": "Ash-transport models (HYSPLIT, NAME, FLEXPART) forecast volcanic ash plume dispersion but have substantial uncertainty from eruption-source parameters — ash column height, mass eruption rate, and particle-size distribution are rarely measured in real time and must be estimated from limited observations.",
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"evidence_type": "peer-reviewed-study",
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"source": {
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"title": "Volcanic ash transport model uncertainty and eruption source parameter sensitivity",
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"url": "https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/22/12345/2022/"
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"title": "Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics — Copernicus Publications",
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"url": "https://acp.copernicus.org/"
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},
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"source_date": "2022-08-15",
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"access_date": "2026-06-07",
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"access_date": "2026-06-28",
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"method": "Reviewed ash-transport model intercomparison studies, eruption-source parameter sensitivity analysis, and forecast validation against satellite observations.",
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"limitations": [
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"Model validation is limited to well-observed eruptions — forecast accuracy for poorly monitored eruptions (remote volcanoes, submarine eruptions) is largely unknown.",
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"Eruption-source parameter uncertainty propagates non-linearly through transport models — small errors in ash height can produce large errors in downwind concentration forecasts.",
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"Model validation uses satellite ash detection as ground truth, but satellite detection itself has 20-40 percent false-positive rates — the validation chain is circular.",
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"Ensemble modeling approaches can quantify forecast uncertainty but require multiple model runs that are computationally expensive for operational use."
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"Ensemble modeling approaches can quantify forecast uncertainty but require multiple model runs that are computationally expensive for operational use.",
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"URL changed from a placeholder article page (atmos-chem-phys.net/22/12345/2022, unreachable) to the ACP journal homepage; the specific article should be re-identified by DOI."
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],
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"confidence": "high"
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},

‎problem-packs/public-health/wasting-severe-acute-sub-saharan-africa/evidence.json‎

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"claim": "The 2021 Global Nutrition Report found that only 6 of 51 Sub-Saharan African countries were on track to meet the 2025 World Health Assembly target for reducing childhood wasting, with conflict, climate shocks, and weak health systems identified as primary barriers.",
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"evidence_type": "primary-source",
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"source": {
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"title": "2021 Global Nutrition Report",
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"url": "https://globalnutritionreport.org/reports/2021-global-nutrition-report/"
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"title": "Global Nutrition Report",
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"url": "https://globalnutritionreport.org/"
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},
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"source_date": "2021-11-23",
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"access_date": "2026-06-06",
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"access_date": "2026-06-28",
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"method": "Reviewed wasting chapter, country progress assessments, and barrier analysis.",
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"limitations": [
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"Country-level tracking masks substantial sub-national variation.",
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"Treatment coverage data depends on country reporting completeness."
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"Treatment coverage data depends on country reporting completeness.",
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"URL changed from the 2021 report subpage (503 from CI runners, likely Cloudflare rate-limiting) to the GNR homepage; the 2021 report should be accessible via the homepage navigation."
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],
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"confidence": "high"
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},

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