open-problem-lab/problem-packs/biodiversity/deforestation-amazon/tasks.json at main · Open-Problem-Lab/open-problem-lab · GitHub

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[
  {
    "id": "source-inventory",
    "problem_id": "biodiversity/deforestation-amazon",
    "title": "Inventory deforestation and biodiversity data sources for Amazon basin",
    "status": "scoped",
    "owner_role": "literature-scout",
    "outcome": "A dated source inventory separating deforestation monitoring, species occurrence, range maps, and unusable sources.",
    "inputs": [
      "INPE PRODES documentation",
      "Global Forest Watch portal",
      "GBIF occurrence data",
      "IUCN Red List data",
      "MapBiomas land cover"
    ],
    "expected_artifact": "datasets.md update plus evidence.json records for each accepted source.",
    "validation_method": "Reviewer checks each listed source for URL, date, access status, license, geographic grain, and limitations.",
    "reviewer_needed": "domain-reviewer",
    "safety_risk": "medium",
    "done_condition": "At least five candidate data sources are classified as usable, limited, or rejected with explicit reasons."
  },
  {
    "id": "deforestation-verification",
    "problem_id": "biodiversity/deforestation-amazon",
    "title": "Verify satellite-based deforestation detection against PRODES reference",
    "status": "needs-triage",
    "owner_role": "data-cleaner",
    "outcome": "A verification report comparing GLAD and other satellite-based deforestation alerts to PRODES reference data, with commission error, omission error, and spatial accuracy statistics.",
    "inputs": [
      "GLAD alert data",
      "PRODES reference data",
      "MapBiomas land cover change",
      "validation methodology"
    ],
    "expected_artifact": "validation.md update with verification statistics.",
    "validation_method": "Replicator reruns verification on independent time period and confirms error statistics within reported tolerance.",
    "reviewer_needed": "replicator",
    "safety_risk": "medium",
    "done_condition": "Verification includes commission error, omission error, and spatial accuracy at state scale with replication confirmed."
  },
  {
    "id": "species-range-loss-estimation",
    "problem_id": "biodiversity/deforestation-amazon",
    "title": "Estimate species-range loss from verified deforestation data",
    "status": "needs-triage",
    "owner_role": "implementation-planner",
    "outcome": "A species-range loss analysis intersecting verified deforestation data with IUCN range maps and GBIF occurrence data, ranked by proportion of range lost with uncertainty bounds.",
    "inputs": [
      "verified deforestation data",
      "IUCN range maps",
      "GBIF occurrence data",
      "species taxonomy reference"
    ],
    "expected_artifact": "outputs.md update with species-range loss ranking.",
    "validation_method": "Replicator reruns range-loss estimation with independent occurrence data subset and confirms ranking within reported uncertainty.",
    "reviewer_needed": "domain-reviewer",
    "safety_risk": "high",
    "done_condition": "Range-loss ranking includes uncertainty bounds, species with fewer than 10 occurrence records flagged, and replication confirmed."
  },
  {
    "id": "conservation-prioritization",
    "problem_id": "biodiversity/deforestation-amazon",
    "title": "Analyze conservation prioritization implications of range-loss data",
    "status": "needs-triage",
    "owner_role": "implementation-planner",
    "outcome": "An analysis of how range-loss rankings interact with existing protected-area boundaries, indigenous territories, and recent deforestation fronts to identify conservation gaps.",
    "inputs": [
      "species-range loss ranking",
      "protected area boundaries",
      "indigenous territory boundaries",
      "deforestation front maps"
    ],
    "expected_artifact": "outputs.md update with conservation gap analysis.",
    "validation_method": "Replicator confirms that gap analysis does not conflate correlation with causation and includes explicit non-use cases.",
    "reviewer_needed": "domain-reviewer",
    "safety_risk": "high",
    "done_condition": "Gap analysis includes explicit non-conservation-recommendation caveats and avoids naming specific unprotected areas as conservation priorities."
  },
  {
    "id": "red-team-overstatement-review",
    "problem_id": "biodiversity/deforestation-amazon",
    "title": "Red-team overstated extinction-risk and deforestation claims",
    "status": "needs-triage",
    "owner_role": "red-team-reviewer",
    "outcome": "A failure-mode review identifying where species-range loss analysis could overstate extinction risk, misrepresent deforestation trends, or justify harmful land-use policies.",
    "inputs": ["range-loss ranking", "gap analysis", "safety policy"],
    "expected_artifact": "outputs.md and SAFETY.md linked review note.",
    "validation_method": "Reviewer confirms every high-risk failure mode has a mitigation or blocks publication, then a second reviewer replicates the failure-mode check.",
    "reviewer_needed": "red-team-reviewer",
    "safety_risk": "high",
    "done_condition": "Every extinction-risk or prioritization claim is either blocked, softened to uncertainty-qualified language, or gated behind replicated review."
  },
  {
    "id": "field-reality-check",
    "problem_id": "biodiversity/deforestation-amazon",
    "title": "Check whether outputs match conservation decision needs",
    "status": "needs-triage",
    "owner_role": "field-reality-reviewer",
    "outcome": "A field-facing review of whether deforestation and species-risk outputs would change any real conservation decision responsibly.",
    "inputs": [
      "draft outputs",
      "conservation institutional context",
      "indigenous and local community safeguards"
    ],
    "expected_artifact": "playbooks.md update with use and non-use guidance.",
    "validation_method": "Field reviewer identifies the actual decision, user, timing, and misuse risk for the output, then a second reviewer replicates the non-use-case check.",
    "reviewer_needed": "field-reality-reviewer",
    "safety_risk": "high",
    "done_condition": "The output has a named user, named decision, explicit safeguards against indigenous displacement, and replicated field-reality review before publication."
  }
]