open-problem-lab/problem-packs/biodiversity/deforestation-amazon/problem.json at main · Open-Problem-Lab/open-problem-lab · GitHub

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{
  "id": "biodiversity/deforestation-amazon",
  "title": "Satellite-Driven Deforestation Detection And Species Loss Risk In The Amazon Basin",
  "status": "scoped",
  "domain": ["biodiversity", "climate-health"],
  "region": ["amazon"],
  "summary": "Build a verified workflow linking satellite-based deforestation detection to species-range loss risk in the Amazon basin, separating verified habitat-loss signals from unverified extinction-risk claims.",
  "why_it_matters": "The Amazon contains 10 percent of known species and stores 150-200 billion tons of carbon. Deforestation rates exceeding 10,000 km² per year threaten extinction for species with small ranges, drive carbon feedback loops, and make the forest-fire tipping point more likely. Satellite-based monitoring exists but linking deforestation pixels to species-level risk with verifiable certainty remains underdeveloped.",
  "success_metrics": [
    {
      "metric": "Deforestation detection accuracy",
      "target": "Deforestation detection validated against independent reference data with documented commission and omission errors.",
      "validation_method": "Compare satellite-based deforestation estimates to PRODES and independent reference datasets."
    },
    {
      "metric": "Species-risk linkage traceability",
      "target": "Every species-range loss estimate links to dated deforestation and species-occurrence evidence.",
      "validation_method": "Reviewer traces each species-risk claim through deforestation data to occurrence data."
    },
    {
      "metric": "Operational humility",
      "target": "No extinction-risk or protected-area recommendation is merged without review and replication.",
      "validation_method": "Check task status, review records, and safety flags."
    }
  ],
  "safety_level": "medium",
  "canonical_files": [
    "datasets.md",
    "evidence.json",
    "evidence.md",
    "outputs.md",
    "playbooks.md",
    "problem.json",
    "problem.md",
    "task-map.md",
    "tasks.json",
    "validation.md"
  ],
  "review_policy": {
    "required_reviews": 2,
    "replication_required": true,
    "merge_gate": "Schema validation, domain review, safety review for extinction-risk claims, and replication for quantitative deforestation-species analyses."
  }
}