predictions.md

Predictions for all models

There is tables for all ten models created. In all tables actual values taken from alcohol data for 2021 (Valvira) and predicted values from our models. Difference shows, how much more (positive sign) or how much less (negative sign) the prediction was compared to actual value of consumed alcohol. All values are in litres.

Predictions for the year 2021

Total with Sunshine Duration	Total without Sunshine Duration
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Actual 29847 34427 41864 46011 44560 62949 57062 Predicted 46051 40048 45775 49151 55278 52735 53883 Difference 16204 5621 3911 3140 10718 -10213 -3178	Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Actual 29847 34427 41864 46011 44560 62949 57062 Predicted 44905 34088 42650 42875 48437 51353 51825 Difference 15058 -338 -786 -3135 3877 -11595 -5236

Beer with Sunshine Duration	Beer without Sunshine Duration
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Actual 20439 23842 28719 31072 29960 41961 37096 Predicted 31399 27085 31822 33752 37651 36069 37532 Difference 10960 3243 3103 2680 7691 -5891 436	Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Actual 20439 23842 28719 31072 29960 41961 37096 Predicted 30914 24689 30092 30433 33700 35884 36292 Difference 10475 847 1373 -638 3740 -6076 -803

Wine with Sunshine Duration	Wine without Sunshine Duration
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Actual 5590 6220 7833 8945 7681 11282 10838 Predicted 8905 6658 8663 9003 9505 9141 10458 Difference 3315 438 830 58 1824 -2140 -379	Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Actual 5590 6220 7833 8945 7681 11282 10838 Predicted 8950 6201 8029 7737 8828 9301 9435 Difference 3360 -18 196 -1207 1147 -1980 -1402

Strong Wine with Sunshine Duration	Strong Wine without Sunshine Duration
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Actual 132 137 150 146 128 143 144 Predicted 395 286 266 269 241 102 147 Difference 263 149 116 123 113 -40 3	Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Actual 132 137 150 146 128 143 144 Predicted 392 212 209 191 245 153 108 Difference 260 75 59 45 117 10 -35

Spirits with Sunshine Duration	Spirits without Sunshine Duration
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Actual 3685 4227 5162 5848 6790 9562 8984 Predicted 5350 6016 5022 6126 7880 7422 5746 Difference 1665 1789 -139 278 1090 -2139 -3237	Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Actual 3685 4227 5162 5848 6790 9562 8984 Predicted 4647 2984 4318 4512 5664 6013 5990 Difference 962 -1242 -843 -1335 -1125 -3548 -2993